మా గ్రూప్ ప్రతి సంవత్సరం USA, యూరప్ & ఆసియా అంతటా 3000+ గ్లోబల్ కాన్ఫరెన్స్ ఈవెంట్లను నిర్వహిస్తుంది మరియు 1000 కంటే ఎక్కువ సైంటిఫిక్ సొసైటీల మద్దతుతో 700+ ఓపెన్ యాక్సెస్ జర్నల్లను ప్రచురిస్తుంది , ఇందులో 50000 మంది ప్రముఖ వ్యక్తులు, ప్రఖ్యాత శాస్త్రవేత్తలు ఎడిటోరియల్ బోర్డ్ సభ్యులుగా ఉన్నారు.
ఎక్కువ మంది పాఠకులు మరియు అనులేఖనాలను పొందే ఓపెన్ యాక్సెస్ జర్నల్స్
700 జర్నల్స్ మరియు 15,000,000 రీడర్లు ప్రతి జర్నల్ 25,000+ రీడర్లను పొందుతున్నారు
Xihua Yang*, Bofu Yu, Qinggaozi Zhu and De Li Liu
New South Wales and Australia Capital Territory Regional Climate Modelling (NARCliM) project has produced a suite of 12 regional climate projections for south-east Australia spanning the range of likely future changes in climate. The aim of this study was to model and predict the impacts of climate change on rainfall erosivity and hillslope erosion risk across New South Wales using the NARCliM projections to assist the long-term climate change adaptation and regional planning. We developed a daily rainfall erosivity model for Southeast Australia to calculate monthly and annual rainfall erosivity values from the projected daily rainfall data for the baseline (1990-2009) and future periods (2020-2039 and 2060-2079). We produced monthly and annual hillslope erosion maps for these three periods using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE) with spatial interpolation to finer scale (100 m). Automated scripts have been developed in a geographic information system (GIS) to calculate the time-series rainfall erosivity and hillslope erosion so that the processes of large quantity climate projections are realistic, repeatable and portable. The model performance was assessed by comparing with data from Bureau of Meteorology for the baseline period and the overall coefficient of efficiency reached 0.9753 (RMSE 13.2%). Both rainfall erosivity and hillslope erosion risk are predicted to increase about 7% in the near future, and about 19% increase in the far future compared with the baseline period. The change is highly uneven in space and time, with the highest increase occurring in the Far-west in autumn. The rainfall erosivity is generally higher in summer and lower in winter, with about 10 times difference between February (highest) and July (lowest).